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Marcilio Dias W vs Meninas de Jaragua W

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marcilio Dias W
33%
Draws
27%
Meninas de Jaragua W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Marcilio Dias W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marcilio Dias W lately — more wins on the board than Meninas de Jaragua W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Marcilio Dias W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marcilio Dias W Clean Sheet 10%
Meninas de Jaragua W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias W Meninas de Jaragua W
Matches Played 16 12
Wins 7 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Meninas de Jaragua W
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Catarinense Women
Meninas de Jaragua W vs Marcilio Dias W
0:2
Oct 5, 2024 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Meninas de Jaragua W
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Catarinense Women
Meninas de Jaragua W vs Marcilio Dias W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias W 38 / 100
Meninas de Jaragua W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias W Meninas de Jaragua W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marcilio Dias W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (16 games).

Meninas de Jaragua W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Marcilio Dias W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias W VS Meninas de Jaragua W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias W

(Home)
12 Oct
Avai Kindermann W
3 : 0
Marcilio Dias W
28 Sept
Marcilio Dias W
0 : 1
Avai Kindermann W
06 Sept
Marcilio Dias W
6 : 0
Paysandu-SC W
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias W
1 : 1
Meninas de Jaragua W
24 Aug
Meninas de Jaragua W
0 : 2
Marcilio Dias W
Page 1 of 4

Meninas de Jaragua W

(Away)
06 Sept
Criciuma W
4 : 0
Meninas de Jaragua W
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias W
1 : 1
Meninas de Jaragua W
24 Aug
Meninas de Jaragua W
0 : 2
Marcilio Dias W
16 Aug
Paysandu-SC W
0 : 7
Meninas de Jaragua W
09 Aug
Meninas de Jaragua W
5 : 1
Paysandu-SC W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai Kindermann W660046:018
2Tunense W62228:138
3Cometa W61235:205
4CE Guarani W60242:282
Promotion - Catarinense Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma W660033:118
2Marcilio Dias W631212:410
3Meninas de Jaragua W621313:127
4Paysandu-SC W60061:420
Promotion - Catarinense Women (Play Offs)