Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 21 Kasım Stadyumu, Mardin
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sengul M.
36'
Oulare N.
51'
Sub
Tasdemir E. In: Yardimci N.
Out: Tasdemir E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mardin 1969
35%
Draws
24%
Vanspor FK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 have won more games recently than Vanspor FK.
  • Win probability leans Mardin 1969's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 68%
Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Vanspor FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Lig
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayode O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vanspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Manis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 95 / 100
Vanspor FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Vanspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanspor FK let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Mardin 1969's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mardin 1969 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS Vanspor FK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Vanspor FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Antalyaspor
3 : 0
Vanspor FK
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
02 Sept
Vanspor FK
0 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)