Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Yeni Malatyaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Sun, Feb 1, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mardin 1969 play Yeni Malatyaspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. Mardin 1969 are favorites here. Recently, Mardin 1969 averaged 1.91 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Yeni Malatyaspor averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. In past meetings, Mardin 1969 won 2, Yeni Malatyaspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Mardin 1969 and 0.88 for Yeni Malatyaspor. This points to a Mardin 1969 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

76%
Mardin 1969
15%
Draws
9%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 picked up more points recently compared to Yeni Malatyaspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 25%
Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Yeni Malatyaspor
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 28
Goals Scored 1.91 0.2
Goals Conceded 0.7 3.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Mardin 1969 vs Yeni Malatyaspor
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Mardin 1969
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 73 / 100
Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Yeni Malatyaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mardin 1969 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.47
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mardin 1969 attacking → ← attacking Yeni Malatyaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mardin 1969 scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Yeni Malatyaspor let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mardin 1969 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Yeni Malatyaspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 2
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52