Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marek vs Belasitsa Petrich

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Karachanakov A.
41' Event
Goranov D.
46'
Sub
Kirilov D. In: Dzhadzharov H.
Out: Kirilov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Marek and Belasitsa Petrich finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Marek
15%
Draws
39%
Belasitsa Petrich
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marek come out ahead of Belasitsa Petrich on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Marek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Marek Clean Sheet 68%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek Belasitsa Petrich
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.96 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Belasitsa Petrich
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Marek
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Marek
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Goranov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Belasitsa Petrich Compare

Top Goalscorer Karachanakov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 50 / 100
Belasitsa Petrich 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek Belasitsa Petrich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marek's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Belasitsa Petrich's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Marek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Belasitsa Petrich's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS Belasitsa Petrich
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
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Belasitsa Petrich

(Away)
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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