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Maria de Fonte vs Forjaes Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maria de Fonte in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maria de Fonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Maria de Fonte
15%
Draws
49%
Forjaes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forjaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Forjaes haven't matched Maria de Fonte's recent run of results.
  • Forjaes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 17%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte Forjaes
Matches Played 37 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.08 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs Maria de Fonte
1:2
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Forjaes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 28 / 100
Forjaes 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte Forjaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forjaes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forjaes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Maria de Fonte found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Forjaes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maria de Fonte

(Home)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 8

Forjaes

(Away)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)