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Maria de Fonte vs Macedo de Cavaleiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Maria de Fonte and Macedo de Cavaleiros finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maria de Fonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Maria de Fonte
28%
Draws
50%
Macedo de Cavaleiros
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Macedo de Cavaleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maria de Fonte come out ahead of Macedo de Cavaleiros on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Macedo de Cavaleiros's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 16%
Macedo de Cavaleiros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte Macedo de Cavaleiros
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Macedo de Cavaleiros vs Maria de Fonte
0:1
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Macedo de Cavaleiros
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 23 / 100
Macedo de Cavaleiros 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte Macedo de Cavaleiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macedo de Cavaleiros let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Maria de Fonte scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Maria de Fonte remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS Macedo de Cavaleiros
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%