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Marinaleda vs PD Rociera Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marinaleda in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marinaleda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Marinaleda
35%
Draws
9%
PD Rociera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Marinaleda have won more games recently than PD Rociera.
  • Model gives Marinaleda a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
PD Rociera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinaleda PD Rociera
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs PD Rociera
2:0
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
PD Rociera vs Marinaleda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 85 / 100
PD Rociera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinaleda PD Rociera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marinaleda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PD Rociera conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

Marinaleda scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Marinaleda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS PD Rociera
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinaleda

(Home)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

PD Rociera

(Away)
17 May
PD Rociera
1 : 1
Ecija
10 May
CD Guadalcacin
2 : 1
PD Rociera
03 May
PD Rociera
0 : 2
Algeciras
26 Apr
Conil
3 : 1
PD Rociera
19 Apr
PD Rociera
1 : 3
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanluqueno 38 28 5 5 81:32 89
2 CD San Fernando 38 22 8 8 88:52 74
3 Mairena 38 20 11 7 64:32 71
4 Coria C.F. 38 20 8 10 72:46 68
5 Sevilla C 38 20 6 12 67:46 66
6 Algeciras 38 17 8 13 57:50 59
7 CD Alcala 38 13 18 7 58:52 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 16 6 16 59:55 54
9 Cadiz B 38 13 11 14 53:53 50
10 Cordoba B 38 11 12 15 35:37 45
11 Conil 38 11 12 15 47:68 45
12 Pozoblanco 38 10 15 13 47:49 45
13 Antoniano 38 10 13 15 31:45 43
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
15 Arcos CF 38 9 13 16 45:63 40
16 Portuense 38 8 15 15 41:53 39
17 Ayamonte 38 10 8 20 46:72 38
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 9 11 18 34:51 38
19 Marinaleda 38 9 11 18 39:59 38
20 PD Rociera 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)