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Marines vs APR

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Marines Logo

Marines

2 - 2
FT
APR Logo

APR

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Marines
15%
Draws
54%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APR lately — more wins on the board than Marines.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and APR have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%
APR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines APR
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 21
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs APR
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Marines
2:1
May 7, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Marines
3:0
Jan 8, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs APR
1:2
Feb 7, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Marines
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 41 / 100
APR 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marines scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

APR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Marines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS APR
1.86 Goals Scored 2.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)