Sport Picks

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Marino De Luanco vs UD Samano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Helguera O.
30' Event
Leyva M.
38' Event
Leyva M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Marino De Luanco and UD Samano finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marino De Luanco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marino De Luanco
15%
Draws
34%
UD Samano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marino De Luanco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Samano haven't matched Marino De Luanco's recent run of results.
  • Marino De Luanco are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 68%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marino De Luanco UD Samano
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 1 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs UD Samano
4:1
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Samano vs Marino De Luanco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marino De Luanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Leyva M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Basurto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Helguera O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marino De Luanco 86 / 100
UD Samano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marino De Luanco UD Samano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marino De Luanco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Samano let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: UD Samano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Marino De Luanco scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Marino De Luanco VS UD Samano
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marino De Luanco

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
08 Aug
Marino De Luanco
0 : 3
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 7

UD Samano

(Away)
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)