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Marist vs Magenta

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Boso M.
11' Event
Athale J.
21'
Iniga A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Marist
30%
Draws
33%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magenta lately — more wins on the board than Marist.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Marist Clean Sheet 10%
Magenta Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marist Magenta
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.45 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2018 OFC Champions League
Marist vs Magenta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marist Compare

Top Goalscorer Boso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Athale J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marist 34 / 100
Magenta 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marist Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marist scored in 77% of their last 22 games.

Magenta let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Marist stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marist VS Magenta
1 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marist

(Home)
29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1
Lautoka
22 Apr
Lautoka
1 : 1
Marist
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
02 Mar
Lupe ole Soaga
1 : 3
Marist
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1
Magenta
Page 1 of 5

Magenta

(Away)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nalkutan 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Lae City 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Ba 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Dragon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 Solomon Warriors 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Lossi 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Lautoka 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Venus 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Madang Fox 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 2 1 0 13:3 7
2 Marist 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Magenta 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)