Sport Picks
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Maritsa Plovdiv and Zagorets finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Zagorets have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Maritsa Plovdiv are scoring more at 1.93.
- Win probability leans Zagorets's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 16%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
0:0
May 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
9:1
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:2
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
6:1
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritsa Plovdiv 11 / 100
Zagorets 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritsa Plovdiv Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zagorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Maritsa Plovdiv found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Zagorets let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Away concern: Zagorets has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maritsa Plovdiv VS Zagorets
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Home) 19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 OFC Haskovo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 OFC Haskovo
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1 Zagorets
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Zagorets
(Away) 19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0 Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
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19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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