Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mark Stars Tbilisi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Gardabani haven't matched Mark Stars Tbilisi's recent run of results.
- Mark Stars Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mark Stars Tbilisi | FC Gardabani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs FC Gardabani
2:0
Apr 22, 2018 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
3:1
Jul 24, 2017 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
1:0
May 24, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs FC Gardabani
1:1
Aug 15, 2016 Georgian Cup
FC Gardabani vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mark Stars Tbilisi 85 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mark Stars Tbilisi FC Gardabani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Gardabani has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: FC Gardabani registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Mark Stars Tbilisi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
- VS FC Gardabani
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mark Stars Tbilisi
(Home) 06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0 Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0 Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3 Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1 Gori
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06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0 Borjomi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1 Gori
24 Oct
Mark Stars Tbilisi
2 : 2 FC Kolkheti Khobi
09 Oct
Mark Stars Tbilisi
0 : 0 Chiatura
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FC Gardabani
(Away) 26 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 5 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3 FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
28 May
FC Gardabani
0 : 6 Gonio
21 May
Iberia 1999 2
6 : 0 FC Gardabani
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15 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
21 May
Iberia 1999 2
6 : 0 FC Gardabani
07 May
Iveria Khashuri
1 : 1 FC Gardabani
29 Apr
Khobi
2 : 1 FC Gardabani
16 Apr
Guria
0 : 0 FC Gardabani
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shevardeni Tbilisi | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36:19 | 37 |
| 2 | Telavi | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 39:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Mark Stars Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 31:29 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Gardabani | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 6 | Gori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Algeti Marneuli | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | 23 |
| 8 | Borjomi | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Chkherimela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 10 | Liakhvi Tskhinvali | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17:47 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiatura | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Khoni | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20:10 | 33 |
| 3 | FC Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Betlemi Keda | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 34:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Samegrelo | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Sulori Vani | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 8 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Odishi 1919 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Sapovnela Terjola | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 7:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
