Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marl-Huls vs Paderborn II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018
Sun, Mar 25, 2018
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marl-Huls play Paderborn II in the Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018. Paderborn II are favorites here. Recently, Marl-Huls averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Paderborn II averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Marl-Huls won 2, Paderborn II won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 25, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Marl-Huls and 1.00 for Paderborn II. This points to a Paderborn II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Marl-Huls
25%
Draws
60%
Paderborn II
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Paderborn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Marl-Huls picked up more points recently compared to Paderborn II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Marl-Huls Clean Sheet 23%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marl-Huls Paderborn II
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.75 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Paderborn II
0:0
Sep 24, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen
Paderborn II vs Marl-Huls
1:1
Apr 17, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen
Paderborn II vs Marl-Huls
6:0
Oct 23, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Paderborn II
7:1
Apr 30, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen
Paderborn II vs Marl-Huls
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marl-Huls 18 / 100
Paderborn II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marl-Huls Paderborn II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paderborn II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Paderborn II & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marl-Huls attacking → ← attacking Paderborn II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marl-Huls scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Paderborn II let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Marl-Huls went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Paderborn II lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lippstadt30186656:3360
21.FC Kaan-Marienborn30186647:2960
3ASC 09 Dortmund30185770:4459
4Hammer SpVgg.301510564:3155
5TuS Haltern301731044:3654
6Schalke II30158751:2453
7Brunninghausen301551062:5550
8Eintracht Rheine301251354:6241
9Westfalia Herne309101152:5637
10Sprockhovel30981352:5835
11Siegen30961546:5433
12TUS Ennepetal30951641:5932
13Paderborn II30851750:5729
14Ahlen30781541:5829
15Arminia Bielefeld II30722133:6723
16Gutersloh30561924:6421
17Marl-Huls00000:00
18SC Hassel00000:00