Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marstal/Rise vs Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2019/2020
Wed, Sep 11, 2019
2 - 6
03:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mikkelsen M.
67' Event
Mikkelsen M.
74' Event
Ankersen J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-6, with Aarhus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Marstal/Rise
20%
Draws
36%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marstal/Rise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus come out ahead of Marstal/Rise on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aarhus's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Aarhus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Marstal/Rise Clean Sheet 14%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marstal/Rise Aarhus
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 0 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.74 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2019 Betano Pokalen
Marstal/Rise vs Aarhus
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marstal/Rise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikkelsen M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Gersbach A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ammitzboll A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marstal/Rise 15 / 100
Aarhus 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marstal/Rise Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Marstal/Rise found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Recent resilience: Marstal/Rise stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aarhus
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marstal/Rise

(Home)
02 Sept
Marstal/Rise
1 : 6
Aalborg
07 Aug
Marstal/Rise
3 : 2
Tved
04 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
3 : 2
Marstal/Rise
11 Sept
Marstal/Rise
2 : 6
Aarhus
06 Aug
Marstal/Rise
5 : 3
Kolding BK
Page 1 of 4

Aarhus

(Away)
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Viby 3
Horn-Farvang IF 2
Vatanspor 1
Fuglebakken 3
FB 3
KFUMs BK 2
Birkerod 1
Vanlose 4
Roskilde 7
Nordfalster 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Tarup-Paarup 6
Kolding IF 3
Dalum IF 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middelfart 1
SfB-Oure 0
Lystrup 1
Skive 16
Hvidovre IF 2
Bronshoj 1
Ronne IK 0
B 1908 2
BK Viktoria 3
Hundested IK 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Thisted FC 8
Skagen IK 0
Krarup/Espe 2
Varde 3
BK Union 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
TBD -
Horsens -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyngby -
TBD -
Skjold 0
Fremad Amager 1
Hellerup 2
Jaegersborg 1
Taastrup 0
Herstedoster IC 1
Herlev 4
Karlslunde 1
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Avarta 4
Skovshoved 2
Sunshine 0
BK Frem 3
Brabrand 3
Aarhus Fremad 2
Hatting Torsted 0
Fredericia 5
Koge 9
Toreby-Graenge 0
Eskilstrup 0
Roskilde KFUM 12
Ledoje-Smorum 8
Naestved 77 0
Holbaek 1
Nykobing 2
Vejgaard 3
Vildbjerg 2
TBD -
Hobro -
Norresundby 2
Lyseng 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naestved IF 3
Vordingborg 1
Rudersdal 0
Hillerod 5
Vendsyssel FF 9
Kjellerup 0
Alleso 0
Vejle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 2
Helsingor 0
Avedore 0
Slagelse 1
FC Sonderborg 3
Chang Odense 2
Jammerbugt 1
Viborg 2
Marienlyst 3
Hedensted 1
Odder 0
Holstebro 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aarhus -
TBD -
Kolding BK 3
Marstal/Rise 5
Djursland 3
Dronninglund 0
Ringkobing 0
VSK Aarhus 1
Otterup 2
Flemlose Harby 1
OKS Odense 1
FC Sydvest 05 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Odense -
1/32-finals
Viby 3
Fuglebakken 0
FB 2
Vanlose 3
Roskilde 3
Tarup-Paarup 0
Kolding IF 0
Randers FC 4
Brondby -
TBD -
Middelfart 0
Skive 2
Hvidovre IF 5
B 1908 2
BK Viktoria 0
Sonderjyske 5
Thisted FC 4
Varde 3
BK Union 0
Horsens 2
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Lyngby 1
Fremad Amager 2
Hellerup 7
Herstedoster IC 4
Herlev 1
Silkeborg 3
Avarta 2
BK Frem 1
Brabrand 1
Fredericia 4
Koge 3
Roskilde KFUM 1
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Nykobing 4
Vejgaard 2
Hobro 1
Norresundby 0
Aalborg 8
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Naestved IF 0
Hillerod 1
Vendsyssel FF 1
Vejle 0
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 2
Slagelse 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Viborg 4
Marienlyst 2
Holstebro 1
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aarhus 6
Marstal/Rise 2
Djursland 1
VSK Aarhus 4
Otterup 4
FC Sydvest 05 0
TBD -
Odense -
1/16-finals
Viby 1
Vanlose 0
Roskilde 1
Randers FC 2
Brondby 3
Skive 2
Hvidovre IF 2
Sonderjyske 4
Thisted FC 1
Horsens 2
Midtjylland 0
Fremad Amager 1
Hellerup 0
Silkeborg 1
Avarta 2
Fredericia 4
Koge 1
Nykobing 0
Vejgaard 0
Aalborg 6
FC Copenhagen 2
Hillerod 1
Vendsyssel FF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
AB Copenhagen 3
Viborg 1
Marienlyst 2
Esbjerg 5
Aarhus 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Otterup 0
Odense 2
1/8-finals
Viby 0
Randers FC 2
Brondby 0
Sonderjyske 1
Horsens 3
Fremad Amager 0
Silkeborg 4
Fredericia 3
Koge 0
Aalborg 3
FC Copenhagen 4
Nordsjaelland 1
AB Copenhagen 1
Esbjerg 2
Aarhus 1
Odense 0
Quarter-finals
Randers FC 1
Sonderjyske 2
Horsens 2
Silkeborg 1
Aalborg 2
FC Copenhagen 0
Esbjerg 1
Aarhus 4
Semi-finals
Sonderjyske 2
Horsens 1
Aalborg 3
Aarhus 2
Final
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0