Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marstal/Rise vs Tved

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Christensen V.
34' Event
Mikkelsen N.
57' Event
Rasmussen C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Marstal/Rise advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Marstal/Rise
15%
Draws
28%
Tved
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marstal/Rise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marstal/Rise come out ahead of Tved on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marstal/Rise a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Marstal/Rise have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marstal/Rise, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Marstal/Rise Clean Sheet 16%
Tved Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marstal/Rise Tved
Matches Played 19 6
Wins 8 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.74 1
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Marstal/Rise vs Tved
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marstal/Rise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikkelsen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rasmussen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

Tved Compare

Top Goalscorer Christensen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holmskov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marstal/Rise 39 / 100
Tved 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marstal/Rise Tved

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marstal/Rise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tved conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Marstal/Rise's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Difficult form: Tved registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marstal/Rise VS Tved
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marstal/Rise

(Home)
02 Sept
Marstal/Rise
1 : 6
Aalborg
07 Aug
Marstal/Rise
3 : 2
Tved
04 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
3 : 2
Marstal/Rise
11 Sept
Marstal/Rise
2 : 6
Aarhus
06 Aug
Marstal/Rise
5 : 3
Kolding BK
Page 1 of 4

Tved

(Away)
07 Aug
Marstal/Rise
3 : 2
Tved
15 Aug
Tved
0 : 5
Aarup
09 Aug
Tved
1 : 5
Marienlyst
23 Sept
Tved
0 : 2
Koge
26 Aug
Tved
1 : 0
Odder
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ringsted 7
Nykobing 6
LUIF 0
Skjold 7
Snejbjerg SG&I 0
Vejgaard 6
Marienlyst 1
Esbjerg 2
Vallensbaek 1
Nakskov 7
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Grenaa IF 0
Young Boys FD 3
Skibsby-Hojene IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
Boldklubben 1909 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Skovsgaard 2
Hobro 4
Ledoje-Smorum 1
BK Frem 0
Helsingor 0
Lyngby 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 2
TRIF 1
Skodstrup SF 0
Thisted FC 2
ESPM 1
Tune 2
TBD -
Fredericia -
BV Oksbol 4
Billund 1
Bramming 3
SfB-Oure 2
Naesby 1
Horsens 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Holstebro 2
Odder 4
ASA Aarhus 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 2
Naestved IF 1
Kastrup 0
Roskilde 2
Husum BK 1
Holbaek 6
Ishoj IF 2
Fremad Amager 1
Skanderborg 4
Kjellerup 0
TBD -
Vejle -
Bornholm 0
Gentofte-Vangede 2
Allerod 2
Bronshoj 4
FC Bih Odense 2
FC Horsens 7
Norager 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frem Sakskobing 1
Sundby 6
OKF 0
Vanlose 5
FC Kalundborg 1
Stenlose 0
TBD -
Odense -
Brondby Strand 2
Nerashte Ballerup 1
BK Viktoria 0
Hillerod 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Tarnby FF 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Koge 3
Raklev 2
Avarta 0
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Marstal/Rise 3
Tved 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Aalborg 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 4
Norresundby 3
Chang Odense 0
Kolding BK 3
OKS Odense 2
Middelfart 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Brabrand 0
Skive 3
Odense KFUM 0
Kolding IF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Rudersdal 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Alholm IF 0
Boldklubben 1893 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Ringsted 3
Skjold 1
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 2
Nakskov 0
Hellerup 4
TBD -
Randers FC -
Young Boys FD 1
Aarhus Fremad 6
Boldklubben 1909 0
Hobro 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Lyngby 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 0
Thisted FC 4
Tune 2
Fredericia 4
BV Oksbol 4
Bramming 0
Horsens 0
Viborg 1
Odder 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 0
Roskilde 5
Holbaek 3
Ishoj IF 0
Skanderborg 0
Vejle 6
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Bronshoj 4
FC Horsens 0
VSK Aarhus 5
Sundby 3
Vanlose 2
FC Kalundborg 0
Odense 11
Brondby Strand 2
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Aarhus -
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Raklev 0
Sonderjyske 10
Marstal/Rise 1
Aalborg 6
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 1
Kolding BK 2
Middelfart 1
Silkeborg 2
Skive 0
Kolding IF 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Ringsted 0
Esbjerg 1
Hellerup 1
Randers FC 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
Hobro 2
Lyngby 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Thisted FC 1
Fredericia 2
BV Oksbol 0
Viborg 6
Lyseng 4
Roskilde 3
Holbaek 2
Vejle 3
Bronshoj 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Sundby 0
Odense 3
Hillerod 1
Aarhus 2
Hvidovre IF 1
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0
Midtjylland 3
Kolding BK 0
Silkeborg 5
Kolding IF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Brondby 4
1/8-finals
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Fredericia 2
Viborg 3
Lyseng 0
Vejle 4
Bronshoj 0
Odense 3
Aarhus 2
Sonderjyske 1
Midtjylland 4
Silkeborg 0
Nordsjaelland 4
Brondby 2
Quarter-finals
Esbjerg 2
FC Copenhagen 6
Viborg 4
Vejle 2
Odense 2
Aarhus 3
Midtjylland 6
Nordsjaelland 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 4
Viborg 2
Aarhus 1
Midtjylland 2
Final
FC Copenhagen 0
Midtjylland 1