Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Martina Calcio vs Manfredonia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
D'Arcangelo F.
35' Event
Silvestro M.
39' Event
Mastrovito M.

AI Match Summary

Martina Calcio in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martina Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Martina Calcio
39%
Draws
31%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Martina Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Manfredonia.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martina Calcio Manfredonia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Manfredonia
4:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Martina Calcio
1:0
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Manfredonia
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Martina Calcio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silvestro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacobbe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jallow L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martina Calcio 41 / 100
Manfredonia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martina Calcio Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Martina Calcio scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Manfredonia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Martina Calcio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Martina Calcio VS Manfredonia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Martina Calcio

(Home)
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1
Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
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Manfredonia

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)