Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
D'Arcangelo F.
35'
35'
Silvestro M.
39'
39'
Mastrovito M.
AI Match Summary
Martina Calcio in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martina Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Martina Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Martina Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Manfredonia.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Martina Calcio taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Martina Calcio | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Manfredonia
4:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Martina Calcio
1:0
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Manfredonia
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Martina Calcio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Martina Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silvestro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Manfredonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Giacobbe M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jallow L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Martina Calcio 50 / 100
Manfredonia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Martina Calcio Manfredonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Martina Calcio scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Manfredonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Martina Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Martina Calcio VS Manfredonia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Martina Calcio
(Home) 16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
12 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Normanna
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Manfredonia
(Away) 16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
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16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1 Manfredonia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
