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Martos vs Malaga Juniors

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Munoz D.
80' Event
Jurado R.
84' Event
Jurado R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Martos and Malaga Juniors finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Martos
15%
Draws
36%
Malaga Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Martos come out ahead of Malaga Juniors on wins alone.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Martos Clean Sheet 20%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martos Malaga Juniors
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Malaga Juniors
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Martos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martos Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurado R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Malaga Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martos 32 / 100
Malaga Juniors 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martos Malaga Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Martos scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Malaga Juniors has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Martos VS Malaga Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Martos

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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Malaga Juniors

(Away)
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
Jaen
1 : 0
Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)