Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Nakotnes liga game between Marupe and FK Smiltene finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Smiltene haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
- Model gives Marupe a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marupe | FK Smiltene |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marupe Compare
FK Smiltene Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Smiltene has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Marupe scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
FK Smiltene's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marupe
(Home)FK Smiltene
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46:11 | 34 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35:12 | 32 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 30 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Marupe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 9 | Skanste | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21:29 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS 2 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20:31 | 12 |
| 11 | JFK Ventspils | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 11 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:31 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16:38 | 7 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11:39 | 5 |