Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Marupe Logo

Marupe

2 - 1
FT
Valmiera 2 Logo

Valmiera 2

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Kizili J.
7'
Meiers M.
17'
Maurs-Boks E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marupe in this 1. Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Marupe
20%
Draws
36%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Marupe have won more games recently than Valmiera 2.
  • Model gives Marupe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Marupe Clean Sheet 19%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Valmiera 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Valmiera 2
2:1
May 18, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Marupe
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadovnikovs R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strauss G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Aruba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 36 / 100
Valmiera 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Marupe found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Valmiera 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Marupe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 7

Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)