Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashal Muborak vs Navbahor Namangan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bahrom Vafoev Stadium, Muborak
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jaloliddinov J.
Assist: Rakhimzhonov A.
32'
Bureev P.
43'
Tozhidinov K.

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navbahor Namangan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mashal Muborak
15%
Draws
85%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Navbahor Namangan lately — more wins on the board than Mashal Muborak.
  • Navbahor Namangan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 2 8
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0.53 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Navbahor Namangan
0:2
Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Navbahor Namangan
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Muborak
6:0
Oct 23, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Navbahor Namangan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashal Muborak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaloliddinov J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Navbahor Namangan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Navbahor Namangan conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mashal Muborak scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS Navbahor Namangan
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashal Muborak

(Home)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
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Navbahor Namangan

(Away)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)