Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Heritier L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Mashujaa and Tanzania Prisons finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mashujaa
15%
Draws
46%
Tanzania Prisons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania Prisons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mashujaa have managed 0.57 goals a game lately — Tanzania Prisons are scoring more at 0.7.
  • Win probability leans Mashujaa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 20%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.57 0.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
May 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 49 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Tanzania Prisons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania Prisons's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Mashujaa's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Mashujaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Tanzania Prisons
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6

Tanzania Prisons

(Away)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)