Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Lake Tanganyika Stadium

Tanzania Prisons

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mashujaa play Tanzania Prisons in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mashujaa averaged 0.48 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Tanzania Prisons averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Mashujaa won 1, Tanzania Prisons won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 30, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Mashujaa and 1.25 for Tanzania Prisons. This points to a Mashujaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Mashujaa

31%

Draws

34%

Tanzania Prisons

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Mashujaa picked up more points recently compared to Tanzania Prisons.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 45%

Over 2.5 Goals 29%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Mashujaa Clean Sheet 19%

Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 41%

Second Half Goal 43%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mashujaa	Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	8	9
Draws	11	5
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	0.48	0.79
Goals Conceded	0.87	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Aug 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

May 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Mashujaa

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 35 / 100

Tanzania Prisons 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mashujaa Tanzania Prisons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mashujaa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +26.1%

4.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mashujaa attacking → ← attacking Tanzania Prisons

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Tanzania Prisons let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Mashujaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tanzania Prisons lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 32

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9