Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matanzas vs FC Villa Clara

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Villa Clara in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Villa Clara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Matanzas
11%
Draws
80%
FC Villa Clara
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Villa Clara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Villa Clara have won more games recently than Matanzas.
  • FC Villa Clara are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 20%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matanzas FC Villa Clara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Matanzas
1:0
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Villa Clara
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Matanzas
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Villa Clara
0:1
Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Matanzas
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matanzas 12 / 100
FC Villa Clara 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matanzas FC Villa Clara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Villa Clara let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Matanzas's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Matanzas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matanzas VS FC Villa Clara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228