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Matchakhela vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Matchakhela and Locomotive Tbilisi 2 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Locomotive Tbilisi 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Matchakhela
15%
Draws
76%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Locomotive Tbilisi 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Locomotive Tbilisi 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Locomotive Tbilisi 2 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 19%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.15 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Matchakhela
6:1
Mar 15, 2024 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0:5
Aug 17, 2023 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Matchakhela
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Locomotive Tbilisi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matchakhela scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Locomotive Tbilisi 2 conceded in 82% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Matchakhela went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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Locomotive Tbilisi 2

(Away)
05 Dec
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
28 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0 : 2
Gori
20 Nov
Orbi
1 : 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
13 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3 : 1
Khobi
06 Nov
WIT Georgia
4 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)