Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Sunpro Alwin

Matsumoto Yamaga

Sat, Mar 21, 2026

3 - 2

05:00 AM

Gifu

Our Tip

Match Events

Wade M.

Assist: Nakamura S.

30'

Murakoshi K.

Assist: Miyabe T.

39'

Wade M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Matsumoto Yamaga in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matsumoto Yamaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Matsumoto Yamaga

33%

Draws

27%

Gifu

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Gifu have won more games recently than Matsumoto Yamaga.
Win probability leans Matsumoto Yamaga's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Matsumoto Yamaga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 68%

Gifu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Matsumoto Yamaga	Gifu
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	14
Draws	1	1
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Mar 21, 2026 J2/J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gifu

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

3:2

Jul 26, 2025 J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gifu

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Mar 29, 2025 J3 League

Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Aug 31, 2024 J3 League

Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matsumoto Yamaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Murakoshi K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oda I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Gifu Compare

Top Goalscorer Wade M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matsumoto Yamaga 50 / 100

Gifu 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Matsumoto Yamaga Gifu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gifu conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Matsumoto Yamaga's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Matsumoto Yamaga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matsumoto Yamaga VS Gifu

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15