Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauritius U17 vs Lesotho U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Fri, Jul 1, 2016
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2017. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mauritius U17 have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Lesotho U17's 1.17 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Mauritius U17 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.33 - 1.38) back Lesotho U17 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mauritius U17
15%
Draws
28%
Lesotho U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauritius U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Mauritius U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Mauritius U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mauritius U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Lesotho U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritius U17 Lesotho U17
Matches Played 10 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mauritius U17 vs Lesotho U17
0:0
Jun 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Lesotho U17 vs Mauritius U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritius U17 36 / 100
Lesotho U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritius U17 Lesotho U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lesotho U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lesotho U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.

Difficult form: Lesotho U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mauritius U17's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mauritius U17 VS Lesotho U17
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritius U17

(Home)
20 Aug
Angola U17
3 : 0
Mauritius U17
07 Aug
Mauritius U17
0 : 1
Angola U17
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
:
Mauritius U17
27 Oct
Mali U17
5 : 1
Mauritius U17
13 Oct
Mauritius U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
Page 1 of 2

Lesotho U17

(Away)
21 Sept
Lesotho U17
0 : 1
Mozambique U20
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
:
Mauritius U17
11 Sept
Cameroon U17
4 : 2
Lesotho U17
29 Aug
Lesotho U17
0 : 3
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Mozambique U17
0 : 2
Lesotho U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -