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Stadium Background

Mauritius vs Libya

World World

World Championship 2026 Cote d'Or National Sports Complex, St Pierre
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Al Tihar A.
53'
Sub
Jackson L. F. In: Nazira A.
Out: Jackson L. F.
66'
Sub
Ali M. In: Taktak H.
Out: Ali M.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Mauritius and Libya finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mauritius
35%
Draws
49%
Libya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Libya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libya come out ahead of Mauritius on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Libya taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mauritius Clean Sheet 19%
Libya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritius Libya
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.54 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship
Mauritius vs Libya
0:0
Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Libya vs Mauritius
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritius 20 / 100
Libya 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritius Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Libya conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Mauritius scored in 35% of their last 26 games.

Solid form: Mauritius remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritius VS Libya
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritius

(Home)
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
08 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 2
Cameroon
09 Sept
Angola
3 : 1
Mauritius
Page 1 of 6

Libya

(Away)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 10 8 2 0 20:2 26
2 Burkina Faso 10 6 3 1 23:8 21
3 Sierra Leone 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
4 Guinea Bissau 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
5 Ethiopia 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
6 Djibouti 10 0 1 9 5:33 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 10 7 3 0 22:3 24
2 D.R. Congo 10 7 1 2 15:6 22
3 Sudan 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Togo 10 1 5 4 5:10 8
5 Mauritania 10 1 4 5 4:13 7
6 South Sudan 10 0 5 5 3:19 5
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
2 Nigeria 10 4 5 1 15:8 17
3 Benin 10 5 2 3 12:11 17
4 Lesotho 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
5 Rwanda 10 3 2 5 5:9 11
6 Zimbabwe 10 0 5 5 5:12 5
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 10 7 2 1 16:8 23
2 Cameroon 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
3 Libya 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
4 Angola 10 2 6 2 9:8 12
5 Mauritius 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
6 Eswatini 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 8 8 0 0 22:2 24
2 Niger 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
3 Tanzania 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
4 Zambia 8 3 0 5 10:10 9
5 Congo 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
6 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 10 8 2 0 25:0 26
2 Gabon 10 8 1 1 22:9 25
3 Gambia 10 4 1 5 27:18 13
4 Kenya 10 3 3 4 18:14 12
5 Burundi 10 3 1 6 13:13 10
6 Seychelles 10 0 0 10 2:53 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Uganda 10 6 0 4 14:9 18
3 Mozambique 10 6 0 4 14:17 18
4 Guinea 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
5 Botswana 10 3 1 6 12:16 10
6 Somalia 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia 10 9 1 0 22:0 28
2 Namibia 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
3 Liberia 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Malawi 10 4 1 5 11:10 13
5 Equatorial Guinea 10 3 2 5 8:15 11
6 Sao Tome and Principe 10 1 0 9 5:26 3
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 10 8 1 1 23:6 25
2 Madagascar 10 6 1 3 17:12 19
3 Mali 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
4 Comoros 10 5 0 5 12:13 15
5 Central Africa 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
6 Chad 10 0 1 9 5:24 1
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