Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mayabeque Guines vs Isla de La Juventud

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Isla de La Juventud in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Isla de La Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Mayabeque Guines
17%
Draws
70%
Isla de La Juventud
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Isla de La Juventud have won more games recently than Mayabeque Guines.
  • Isla de La Juventud are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Isla de La Juventud have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 16%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayabeque Guines Isla de La Juventud
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 3 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Isla de La Juventud
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Mayabeque Guines
0:0
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Isla de La Juventud
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 15 / 100
Isla de La Juventud 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayabeque Guines Isla de La Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Isla de La Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Mayabeque Guines's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mayabeque Guines remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS Isla de La Juventud
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122