Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maykop vs Tuapse

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Datkhuzhev A.
26'
Demetradze D.
33'
Pekov I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Maykop and Tuapse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maykop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maykop
15%
Draws
21%
Tuapse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maykop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maykop come out ahead of Tuapse on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maykop a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Maykop have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Maykop Clean Sheet 68%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maykop Tuapse
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Maykop vs Tuapse
1:0
Aug 7, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Maykop
3:0
Apr 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Maykop vs Tuapse
3:2
Sep 14, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Maykop
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Garakoev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Tuapse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maykop 95 / 100
Tuapse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maykop Tuapse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maykop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maykop scored in 86% of their last 44 games.

Defensive concern: Tuapse conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Maykop remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maykop VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maykop

(Home)
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Maykop
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
Page 1 of 9

Tuapse

(Away)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)