Sport Picks

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Mazatlan FC vs Club Leon

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Vegas S.
25' Event
Barcenas Y.
32'
Diaz J.

AI Match Summary

Mazatlan FC in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazatlan FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mazatlan FC
28%
Draws
50%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon lately — more wins on the board than Mazatlan FC.
  • Win probability leans Club Leon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Mazatlan FC Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazatlan FC Club Leon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Club Leon
4:2
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Mazatlan FC
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Club Leon
1:2
Nov 6, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Mazatlan FC
0:0
Jan 31, 2024 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Club Leon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazatlan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barcenas Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cambindo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazatlan FC 22 / 100
Club Leon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazatlan FC Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazatlan FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Club Leon let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Club Leon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazatlan FC VS Club Leon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazatlan FC

(Home)
25 Apr
Tigres UANL
5 : 1
Mazatlan FC
23 Apr
Mazatlan FC
4 : 3
Toluca
18 Apr
Mazatlan FC
1 : 1
Queretaro
12 Apr
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Mazatlan FC
04 Apr
Necaxa
2 : 1
Mazatlan FC
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon

(Away)
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3
Atlas
03 Jul
Club Leon
4 : 2
Tapatio
27 Jun
Club Leon
7 : 4
Zacatecas Mineros
26 Apr
Toluca
4 : 1
Club Leon
22 Apr
Club Leon
2 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)