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Medeama vs Heart of Lions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League TNA Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Obeng K.
41' Event
Ayidem M.
44' Event
Nkrumah K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Medeama and Heart of Lions finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medeama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Medeama
33%
Draws
27%
Heart of Lions
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Heart of Lions haven't matched Medeama's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Medeama taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Medeama Clean Sheet 20%
Heart of Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medeama Heart of Lions
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 16 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Heart of Lions
5:2
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Medeama
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Medeama
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Medeama vs Heart of Lions
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Premier League
Medeama vs Heart of Lions
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medeama Compare

Top Goalscorer Fordjour D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Obeng K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Heart of Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayidem M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medeama 40 / 100
Heart of Lions 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medeama Heart of Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medeama scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Medeama has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Heart of Lions has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Medeama VS Heart of Lions
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama341711652:2862
2Bibiani Gold Stars341931246:4060
3Hearts of Oak341315625:1554
4Dreams FC341571249:3252
5Samartex3413111026:2550
6Aduana Stars3413111029:2450
7Berekum Chelsea341481235:3350
8Asante Kotoko3413101141:2949
9Karela3413101132:3349
10Bechem United341381338:3947
11Vision3412111138:3447
12Holy Stars341371430:3946
13Young Apostles341291337:3745
14Heart of Lions341291336:3345
15Swedru All Blacks341291334:3145
16Nations FC341281430:3144
17Hohoe United34791822:5030
18Eleven Wonders34342726:7313