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Meizhou Hakka vs Yanbian Longding

China China

League One Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meizhou Hakka play Yanbian Longding in the League One. Yanbian Longding are favorites here. Recently, Meizhou Hakka averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Yanbian Longding averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Meizhou Hakka won 1, Yanbian Longding won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Meizhou Hakka and 1.56 for Yanbian Longding. This points to a Yanbian Longding double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Meizhou Hakka
18%
Draws
56%
Yanbian Longding
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Yanbian Longding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Meizhou Hakka picked up more points recently compared to Yanbian Longding.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 15%
Yanbian Longding Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Yanbian Longding
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.24 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Yanbian Longding
0:3
Aug 4, 2018 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Meizhou Hakka
2:1
Mar 18, 2018 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Yanbian Longding
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Yanbian Longding Compare

Top Goalscorer Huang Zhenfei
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giovanny
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 26 / 100
Yanbian Longding 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Yanbian Longding

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yanbian Longding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Yanbian Longding & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Meizhou Hakka attacking → ← attacking Yanbian Longding

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meizhou Hakka scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Yanbian Longding let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Meizhou Hakka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yanbian Longding lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 51
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1383225:1427
2Shenzhen Juniors1373323:1524
3Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
4Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
5Yanbian Longding1356218:1121
6Ningbo Professional1363418:1618
7Nanjing City1353514:1318
8Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
9Shaanxi Union1244415:916
10Dingnan Ganlian1337318:2116
11Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
12Dalian Kun City1234517:2013
13Meizhou Hakka1342713:2511
14Foshan Nanshi1324715:2610
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu132387:169
16Suzhou Dongwu1323810:196