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Meizhou Hakka vs Yunnan Yukun

China China

Super League 2025 Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meizhou Hakka play Yunnan Yukun in the Super League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Meizhou Hakka averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Yunnan Yukun averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Meizhou Hakka won 0, Yunnan Yukun won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 24, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Meizhou Hakka and 1.75 for Yunnan Yukun. This points to a Yunnan Yukun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Meizhou Hakka
23%
Draws
53%
Yunnan Yukun
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Meizhou Hakka picked up more points recently compared to Yunnan Yukun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 12%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Yunnan Yukun
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Yunnan Yukun
1:4
May 16, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Meizhou Hakka
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Ruiqi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader da Cunha Correia R. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 24 / 100
Yunnan Yukun 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Yunnan Yukun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yunnan Yukun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Yunnan Yukun & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Meizhou Hakka attacking → ← attacking Yunnan Yukun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meizhou Hakka scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Yunnan Yukun let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Meizhou Hakka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yunnan Yukun lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 41
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port30206472:4466
2Shanghai Shenhua30197467:3564
3Chengdu Rongcheng30179460:2860
4Beijing Guoan30176769:4657
5Shandong Taishan30158769:4653
6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301281040:4144
7Zhejiang Professional301012860:5142
8Yunnan Yukun301191047:5242
9Qingdao West Coast3010101039:4340
10Henan Songshan Longmen301071352:4837
11Dalian Yingbo30991230:4536
12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30831935:5927
13Wuhan Three Towns30671734:6225
14Qingdao Hainiu305101535:4825
15Meizhou Hakka30561936:7121
16Changchun Yatai30471926:5219