Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melbo vs Finnsnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melbo in this Division 3 - Group 6 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Melbo
15%
Draws
64%
Finnsnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finnsnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Melbo haven't matched Finnsnes's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Melbo Clean Sheet 13%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbo Finnsnes
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Finnsnes
3:2
Sep 12, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Finnsnes
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Finnsnes
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Melbo
4:3
Jun 9, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Finnsnes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbo 35 / 100
Finnsnes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbo Finnsnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finnsnes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Finnsnes conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Melbo scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Finnsnes's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Finnsnes
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbo

(Home)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
Page 1 of 3

Finnsnes

(Away)
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 3
Finnsnes
Page 1 of 6