Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melilla CD vs CP Almeria

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Melilla CD
15%
Draws
85%
CP Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CP Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CP Almeria at 1.09 per game, Melilla CD at 0.97.
  • Model gives CP Almeria a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 20%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla CD CP Almeria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Melilla CD
1:0
Apr 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs CP Almeria
1:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs CP Almeria
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Melilla CD
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla CD 20 / 100
CP Almeria 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla CD CP Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CP Almeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CP Almeria let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Melilla CD scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

CP Almeria's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CP Almeria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla CD

(Home)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
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CP Almeria

(Away)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
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