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Melilla vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Iglesias J.
90'
Gonzalez P.

AI Match Summary

Melilla in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Melilla
20%
Draws
38%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puente Genil lately — more wins on the board than Melilla.
  • Melilla are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Puente Genil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Puente Genil
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Melilla
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Puente Genil vs Melilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Puente Genil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 42 / 100
Puente Genil 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melilla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Puente Genil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.33 goals.

Solid form: Melilla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Puente Genil
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1
Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1
Melilla
Page 1 of 6

Puente Genil

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
12 Apr
Puente Genil
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
05 Apr
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)