Sport Picks

Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Soinca Bata

Melipilla

3 - 0

Osorno

Our Tip

Match Events

Caceres B.

32'

Namoncura S.

34'

Vargas L.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between Melipilla and Osorno finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melipilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Melipilla

30%

Draws

34%

Osorno

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Melipilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Osorno haven't matched Melipilla's recent run of results.
36% — that's where the model lands on Melipilla taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Melipilla Clean Sheet 10%

Osorno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Melipilla	Osorno
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	16	15
Draws	4	11
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	2.25	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Segunda Division

Melipilla vs Osorno

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

3:0

Mar 1, 2025 Segunda Division

Osorno vs Melipilla

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Oct 12, 2024 Segunda Division

Melipilla vs Osorno

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

May 18, 2024 Segunda Division

Osorno vs Melipilla

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

3:3

Sep 23, 2023 Segunda Division

Osorno vs Melipilla

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melipilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodriguez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Osorno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melipilla 34 / 100

Osorno 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Melipilla Osorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melipilla scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Osorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Melipilla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melipilla VS Osorno

2.25 Goals Scored 2.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Puerto Montt	24	16	6	2	54:17	54
2	Linares Unido	24	13	6	5	39:27	45
3	Brujas Salamanca	24	11	6	7	33:27	39
4	Osorno	24	11	6	7	49:34	36
5	Provincial Ovalle	24	10	6	8	24:21	36
6	Concon National	24	10	3	11	44:36	33
7	General Velasquez	24	8	8	8	29:36	32
8	Trasandino	24	9	1	14	34:42	28
9	Real San Joaquin	24	6	4	14	22:43	22
10	Santiago City	24	5	5	14	35:58	20
11	Deportes Rengo	24	5	3	16	22:52	18
12	Melipilla	24	12	4	8	42:33	-14
13	San Antonio Unido	24	9	4	11	48:49	-27