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Mendrisio vs Courtetelle

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio play Courtetelle in the 1.Liga Classic Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mendrisio averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Courtetelle averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Mendrisio won 0, Courtetelle won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Mendrisio and 1.56 for Courtetelle. This points to a Courtetelle double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mendrisio
22%
Draws
46%
Courtetelle
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Courtetelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Mendrisio picked up more points recently compared to Courtetelle.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 15%
Courtetelle Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Courtetelle
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 1.Liga Classic Cup
Mendrisio vs Courtetelle
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 32 / 100
Courtetelle 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Courtetelle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Courtetelle or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mendrisio attacking → ← attacking Courtetelle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mendrisio scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Courtetelle let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Mendrisio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Courtetelle lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 61
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88