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Mendrisio vs Vallemaggia

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 11-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mendrisio
33%
Draws
26%
Vallemaggia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mendrisio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mendrisio lately — more wins on the board than Vallemaggia.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Mendrisio taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 20%
Vallemaggia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Vallemaggia
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 12 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.53 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 5.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mendrisio vs Vallemaggia
11:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 85 / 100
Vallemaggia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Vallemaggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mendrisio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vallemaggia conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mendrisio scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Mendrisio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
06 Sept
Mendrisio
2 : 0
Freienbach
29 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 1
Mendrisio
22 Aug
Collina d'Oro
1 : 1
Mendrisio
16 Aug
FC Widnau
1 : 1
Mendrisio
08 Aug
Kosova
0 : 0
Mendrisio
Page 1 of 6

Vallemaggia

(Away)
08 Feb
Mendrisio
11 : 0
Vallemaggia
10 Nov
Vallemaggia
0 : 6
Grasshoppers
15 Sept
Vallemaggia
3 : 1
Bumpliz
21 Sept
Vallemaggia
0 : 5
Lugano