Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelinense vs Pedras Salgadas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merelinense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merelinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Merelinense
15%
Draws
32%
Pedras Salgadas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Pedras Salgadas have won more games recently than Merelinense.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Merelinense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 68%
Pedras Salgadas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Pedras Salgadas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Pedras Salgadas
2:1
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Merelinense
3:1
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Pedras Salgadas
0:1
Dec 4, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Merelinense
2:3
Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Merelinense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 68 / 100
Pedras Salgadas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Pedras Salgadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pedras Salgadas has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merelinense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS Pedras Salgadas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
12 Mar
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Merelinense
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Pedras Salgadas

(Away)
08 Sept
Vieira
2 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
16 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
1 : 0
SC Vianense
08 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
02 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
3 : 1
Vilar de Perdizes
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)