Sport Picks
Merida UD vs Don Benito Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Don Benito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Don Benito lately — more wins on the board than Merida UD.
- Merida UD are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 17%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merida UD | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 40 |
| Wins | 22 | 26 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 2.02 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Merida UD
0:1
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Don Benito
1:0
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Don Benito
1:1
Sep 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Merida UD
2:1
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Merida UD
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merida UD 41 / 100
Don Benito 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merida UD Don Benito
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merida UD scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Merida UD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Don Benito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 40 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Don Benito
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Merida UD
(Home) 22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
Page 1 of 7
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
04 May
Merida UD
1 : 1 Castuera
27 Apr
Merida UD
3 : 1 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 3
Don Benito
(Away) 03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Don Benito
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0 Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0 Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0 Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2 Don Benito
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Don Benito
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0 Don Benito
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2 Don Benito
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2 Don Benito
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1 Don Benito
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
