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Merignac W vs Henin W

France France

Coupe de France Women 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Henin W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Merignac W
15%
Draws
64%
Henin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Henin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Henin W come out ahead of Merignac W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Henin W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Henin W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Henin W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Merignac W Clean Sheet 10%
Henin W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merignac W Henin W
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.43 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.96 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Coupe de France Women
Merignac W vs Henin W
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merignac W 10 / 100
Henin W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merignac W Henin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henin W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Henin W let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Merignac W's goal record stands at 26% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Solid form: Merignac W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merignac W VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merignac W

(Home)
09 Sept
Bordeaux W
11 : 0
Merignac W
26 Aug
Bordeaux W
10 : 0
Merignac W
22 May
Marseille W
7 : 0
Merignac W
08 May
Merignac W
3 : 1
Yzeure Allier W
24 Apr
Albi-Marssac W
7 : 0
Merignac W
Page 1 of 5

Henin W

(Away)
16 Apr
Henin W
0 : 10
OL Lyonnes W
12 Mar
Henin W
1 : 0
Soyaux W
19 Feb
Merignac W
2 : 4
Henin W
22 May
Val d'Orge W
3 : 1
Henin W
08 May
Henin W
3 : 0
Mars Bischheim W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Merignac W 2
Henin W 4
Soyaux W 2
Saint-Maur W 1
Guingamp W 0
OL Lyonnes W 5
Metz W 1
Rodez AF W 3
La Roche W 2
Juvisy W 4
Tours W 0
PSG W 11
FC Domont W 0
Montpellier W 16
Rousset Ste Victoire W 1
St Etienne W 7
Quarter-finals
Henin W 1
Soyaux W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Rodez AF W 0
Juvisy W 1
PSG W 2
Montpellier W 0
St Etienne W 1
Semi-finals
Henin W 0
OL Lyonnes W 10
PSG W 4
St Etienne W 1
Final
OL Lyonnes W 2
PSG W 1