Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League 2018

Merikh Kosti

3 - 2

Ahli Khartoum

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018 game between Merikh Kosti and Ahli Khartoum finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merikh Kosti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Merikh Kosti

17%

Draws

13%

Ahli Khartoum

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Merikh Kosti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ahli Khartoum carry the better recent record into this one.
70% — that's where the model lands on Merikh Kosti taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 18%

Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merikh Kosti	Ahli Khartoum
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	6	11
Draws	6	16
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	0.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Premier League

Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti

Possession: 59% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

1:5

Jan 16, 2026 Premier League

Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 3, 2018 Premier League

Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Aug 18, 2018 Premier League

Ahli Khartoum vs Merikh Kosti

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sep 13, 2017 Premier League

Merikh Kosti vs Ahli Khartoum

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merikh Kosti 67 / 100

Ahli Khartoum 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merikh Kosti Ahli Khartoum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Khartoum has conceded goals in 68% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Ahli Khartoum registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Merikh Kosti scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merikh Kosti VS Ahli Khartoum

0.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alamal SC Atbara	18	9	6	3	22:12	33
2	Wad Hashim Sennar	18	7	8	3	22:19	29
3	Al Shorta	18	7	7	4	23:17	28
4	Hay Al Wadi	18	7	6	5	17:14	27
5	Al Hilal Kadougli	18	6	8	4	16:12	26
6	Ahli Khartoum	18	6	8	4	19:16	26
7	El-Ahli Atbara	18	6	6	6	20:22	24
8	Kober	18	6	5	7	22:21	23
9	Merikh Kosti	18	5	4	9	16:23	19
10	Merikh Nyala	18	1	2	15	13:34	5