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Merkuur Tartu vs Dinamo Tallinn

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga 2005 game between Merkuur Tartu and Dinamo Tallinn finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merkuur Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merkuur Tartu
6%
Draws
4%
Dinamo Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merkuur Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merkuur Tartu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Merkuur Tartu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Merkuur Tartu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 13%
Dinamo Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merkuur Tartu Dinamo Tallinn
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2005 Meistriliiga
Dinamo Tallinn vs Merkuur Tartu
2:1
Aug 21, 2005 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Dinamo Tallinn
4:0
May 29, 2005 Meistriliiga
Dinamo Tallinn vs Merkuur Tartu
1:6
Apr 10, 2005 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Dinamo Tallinn
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur Tartu 84 / 100
Dinamo Tallinn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merkuur Tartu Dinamo Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tallinn has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Merkuur Tartu scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Dinamo Tallinn lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merkuur Tartu VS Dinamo Tallinn
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Merkuur Tartu

(Home)
10 Aug
Merkuur Tartu
3 : 4
Rumori Calcio
22 Jun
Merkuur Tartu
6 : 4
Zenit Tallinn
29 Sept
Levadia
13 : 1
Merkuur Tartu
26 Jul
Merkuur Tartu
4 : 2
Rada Kuusalu
15 Jul
Merkuur Tartu
0 : 4
Kuressaare
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Dinamo Tallinn

(Away)
12 Jun
Otepaa
2 : 1
Dinamo Tallinn
25 Jul
Dinamo Tallinn
0 : 5
Kivioli Irbis
04 Jul
Dinamo Tallinn
2 : 1
Sorve
06 Nov
Dinamo Tallinn
1 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
30 Oct
Narva
7 : 0
Dinamo Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1TVMK Tallinn363051138:2195
2Levadia36285397:2589
3Narva36237699:3476
4Flora36216981:3669
5Tulevik3611121346:4845
6Merkuur Tartu361171852:8640
7Tammeka Tartu36852350:8829
8Valga Warrior36842438:7828
9Kuressaare36762340:9627
10Dinamo Tallinn36333028:15712
Promotion - Champions League 2006/2007 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 2006/2007 (Qualification)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 2006 (Main)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 2006/2007 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2005 (Relegation)