Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merkuur Tartu vs Oismae Torm

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 10-1, with Merkuur Tartu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merkuur Tartu
6%
Draws
4%
Oismae Torm
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merkuur Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Oismae Torm haven't matched Merkuur Tartu's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Merkuur Tartu taking it.
  • Merkuur Tartu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Merkuur Tartu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 11%
Oismae Torm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merkuur Tartu Oismae Torm
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 11 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.38 8.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 8.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2014 Estonian Cup
Merkuur Tartu vs Oismae Torm
10:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur Tartu 83 / 100
Oismae Torm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merkuur Tartu Oismae Torm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oismae Torm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 11.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Oismae Torm has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Merkuur Tartu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merkuur Tartu VS Oismae Torm
1.75 Goals Scored 1.17
2.38 Goals Conceded 8.17
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Merkuur Tartu

(Home)
10 Aug
Merkuur Tartu
3 : 4
Rumori Calcio
22 Jun
Merkuur Tartu
6 : 4
Zenit Tallinn
29 Sept
Levadia
13 : 1
Merkuur Tartu
26 Jul
Merkuur Tartu
4 : 2
Rada Kuusalu
15 Jul
Merkuur Tartu
0 : 4
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

Oismae Torm

(Away)
20 Jun
Jogeva Wolves II
3 : 2
Oismae Torm
09 Jun
Nomme Utd
24 : 0
Oismae Torm
02 Aug
Viimsi JK
6 : 0
Oismae Torm
08 Jun
Merkuur Tartu
10 : 1
Oismae Torm
05 Jul
Tallinn Piraaja
6 : 0
Oismae Torm
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U215
Santos Tartu4
Rapla Lokomotiiv0
Narva United2
Rada Kuusalu9
Tartu Ulikool0
SK EPMU Tartu2
Tammeka Tartu5
Flora U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Tapa-
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts5
Lootos FCR2
Virtsu1
Igiliikur5
Retro5
Tallinn Piraaja1
TBD-
Valga Warrior-
Rapla-
TBD-
FCP Parnu0
FC Tartu4
Tabasalu3
JK Jalgpallihaigla2
Kadakas0
Kaitseliit2
Nomme Utd10
Anija0
Lelle1
Ulikool Tallinn5
FCI Tallinn II7
Paidelona0
TBD-
Elva-
Otepaa-
TBD-
Castovanni Eagles0
Rakvere3
Metropool Parnu9
Haiba0
Fellin1
Raasiku Valla2
Ulikool Tallinn II-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Ararat-
Kivioli Irbis-
TBD-
Loo JK1
Saku Sporting3
Reaal-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu1
SK Taaksi2
Keila JK12
Somnium1
TBD-
Puuma-
Tartu Tehased4
Twister Tallinn1
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Flora7
Tulevik0
TBD-
JK Visadus-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose-
Levadia-
TBD-
Aseri Askele1
Tallinna Kalev II6
Imavere Forss6
Helios1
Eston Villa1
Saue JK Laagri2
FCI Tallinn16
JK Poseidon0
Viimsi Ehitus2
Raasiku Joker8
Soccernet-
TBD-
Pirita0
Voru1
Tallinna Dnipro-
Vutihoolikud-
Shnelli0
Maardu United8
Viimsi MRJK6
Jarva-Jaani1
Narva1
Sillamae Kalev3
Johvi Phoenix-
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS-
Tartu Taara0
Vandra Vaprus8
IAFA Estonia-
TBD-
Raudne Rusikas2
Tallinna Kalev III3
Jogeva-
TBD-
TBD-
Lasnamae-
Navi Vutiselts-
TBD-
Parnu Linnameeskond3
Tallinna Kalev4
Maardu Linnameeskond8
Tallinna Depoo3
Olympic Tallinn0
Viimsi JK5
Torva JK6
Vastseliina Tannem0
Kohtla-Nomme2
Ganvix Turi11
Kuressaare7
Vaatsa Vald0
Oismae Torm1
Merkuur Tartu10
Ambla-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U213
Narva United1
Rada Kuusalu1
Tammeka Tartu4
Flora U194
Tapa0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts0
Igiliikur2
Retro9
Valga Warrior2
Rapla1
FC Tartu8
Tabasalu3
Kaitseliit0
Nomme Utd2
Ulikool Tallinn9
FCI Tallinn II3
Elva2
Otepaa0
Rakvere2
Metropool Parnu3
Raasiku Valla1
Ulikool Tallinn II0
FC Ararat5
Kivioli Irbis15
Saku Sporting0
Reaal2
SK Taaksi4
Keila JK2
Puuma1
Tartu Tehased0
Paide Linnameeskond17
Flora5
JK Visadus0
Tartu JK Welco0
Kose1
Levadia19
Tallinna Kalev II0
Imavere Forss1
Saue JK Laagri3
FCI Tallinn2
Raasiku Joker0
Soccernet2
Voru5
Tallinna Dnipro2
Maardu United0
Viimsi MRJK0
Sillamae Kalev11
Johvi Phoenix2
Vandra Vaprus1
IAFA Estonia-
Tallinna Kalev III-
Jogeva-
Lasnamae-
Navi Vutiselts0
Tallinna Kalev3
Maardu Linnameeskond2
Viimsi JK1
Torva JK1
Ganvix Turi4
Kuressaare4
Merkuur Tartu0
Ambla0
Kalju18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U213
Tammeka Tartu1
Flora U192
Igiliikur3
Retro5
FC Tartu2
Tabasalu2
Ulikool Tallinn11
FCI Tallinn II2
Rakvere1
Metropool Parnu3
FC Ararat4
Kivioli Irbis7
SK Taaksi3
Keila JK0
Paide Linnameeskond6
Flora13
Kose0
Levadia-
Saue JK Laagri-
FCI Tallinn11
Voru0
Tallinna Dnipro0
Sillamae Kalev13
Johvi Phoenix3
Tallinna Kalev III1
Jogeva0
Tallinna Kalev1
Maardu Linnameeskond5
Ganvix Turi1
Kuressaare0
Kalju4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U219
Igiliikur0
Retro3
Ulikool Tallinn4
FCI Tallinn II3
FC Ararat0
Kivioli Irbis-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Flora11
Saue JK Laagri0
FCI Tallinn0
Sillamae Kalev1
Johvi Phoenix3
Tallinna Kalev0
Maardu Linnameeskond0
Kalju4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U215
Ulikool Tallinn3
FCI Tallinn II0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Flora2
Sillamae Kalev1
Johvi Phoenix3
Kalju5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U211
Paide Linnameeskond3
Flora1
Kalju2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond0
Kalju2