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Merreikh El-Fasher vs Wad Hashim Sennar

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merreikh El-Fasher play Wad Hashim Sennar in the Premier League 2018/2019. Merreikh El-Fasher are favorites here. Recently, Merreikh El-Fasher averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Wad Hashim Sennar averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Merreikh El-Fasher won 1, Wad Hashim Sennar won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 3, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Merreikh El-Fasher and 1.00 for Wad Hashim Sennar. This points to a Merreikh El-Fasher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Merreikh El-Fasher
25%
Draws
15%
Wad Hashim Sennar
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Merreikh El-Fasher picked up more points recently compared to Wad Hashim Sennar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 23%
Wad Hashim Sennar Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 45%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merreikh El-Fasher Wad Hashim Sennar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Premier League
Wad Hashim Sennar vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:1
Dec 5, 2018 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Wad Hashim Sennar
0:0
Apr 27, 2018 Premier League
Wad Hashim Sennar vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:3
Feb 25, 2018 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Wad Hashim Sennar
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merreikh El-Fasher 59 / 100
Wad Hashim Sennar 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merreikh El-Fasher Wad Hashim Sennar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merreikh El-Fasher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Merreikh El-Fasher & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merreikh El-Fasher attacking → ← attacking Wad Hashim Sennar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merreikh El-Fasher scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Wad Hashim Sennar let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Merreikh El-Fasher went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Wad Hashim Sennar lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 34
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh1495034:1032
2Al-Khartoum1473421:1524
3Hilal El Obied1454520:1719
4Hay Al Wadi1447312:1619
5Al Mourada1454513:1919
6Alamal SC Atbara1452714:2217
7Ahli Khartoum1426613:1512
8Al-Ahly Merowe1415810:238
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman14101331:1031
2Ahli Shendi1484216:628
3Al Shorta1462618:1720
4Merreikh El-Fasher1445516:1517
5Hay al-Arab1444612:1716
6Al Hilal Kadougli1436513:1615
7Wad Hashim Sennar143657:1415
8Rabita Kosti141677:259