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Merstham vs Chertsey Town

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
19' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

Chertsey Town in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Merstham
6%
Draws
90%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chertsey Town have won more games recently than Merstham.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chertsey Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merstham Chertsey Town
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0 2.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Chertsey Town
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merstham 10 / 100
Chertsey Town 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merstham Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Merstham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Chertsey Town has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Merstham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chertsey Town
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Merstham

(Home)
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
14 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Merstham
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Chertsey Town

(Away)
21 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 0
Wealdstone
14 Jul
Egham Town
1 : 4
Chertsey Town
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0
Hungerford
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1
Chertsey Town
11 Apr
Chertsey Town
0 : 1
Poole Town
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