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Merstham vs Chertsey Town

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
19' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

Chertsey Town in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Merstham
30%
Draws
58%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chertsey Town have won more games recently than Merstham.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Chertsey Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merstham Chertsey Town
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.19 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Chertsey Town
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merstham 10 / 100
Chertsey Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merstham Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chertsey Town has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Merstham scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Merstham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merstham VS Chertsey Town
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merstham

(Home)
29 Aug
Peacehaven & Telscombe
2 : 1
Merstham
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
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Chertsey Town

(Away)
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1
Chertsey Town
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