Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2025/2026

Merthyr Town

4 - 0

Torpoint

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Merthyr Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Merthyr Town

20%

Draws

22%

Torpoint

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Merthyr Town carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Merthyr Town a 58% chance of winning this.
Merthyr Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Merthyr Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 18%

Torpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merthyr Town	Torpoint
Matches Played	29	5
Wins	10	1
Draws	7	0
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.62	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.52	3.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup

Merthyr Town vs Torpoint

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 85 / 100

Torpoint 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merthyr Town Torpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Torpoint let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Merthyr Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS -

2 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)

19 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Truro

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

05 Sept

Merthyr Town

2 : 1

Macclesfield

31 Aug

Buxton

2 : 1

Merthyr Town

Page 1 of 6

Torpoint

(Away)

13 Sept

Merthyr Town

4 : 0

Torpoint

30 Aug

Royal Wootton

1 : 3

Torpoint

09 Jul

Torpoint

0 : 6

Truro

03 Sept

Torpoint

1 : 2

Helston Athletic

16 Aug

Torpoint

2 : 4

Odd Down

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Warrington Town 0

Bamber Bridge 3

Silsden 2

Bootle 4

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Telford -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Kidsgrove Athletic 1

Racing Club Warwick 2

Evesham 5

Bromsgrove 2

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Atherton Rovers 5

Atherton Collieries 2

Avro 1

Nantwich 3

Trafford 2

Stockton 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 5

Abbey Hulton 4

Hanley Town 0

Stourbridge 2

Bourne 1

Shepshed 2

Stamford 1

Coventry Sphinx 0

Kendal 0

Dunston 1

Wombwell Town 1

Stocksbridge 3

Corby 1

Gainsborough 2

Rushall 5

Atherstone 1

TBD -

Hartlepool -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Boston United -

Rochdale -

TBD -

York City -

Pickering Town 5

Redcar Athletic 2

West Didsbury & Chorlton 0

Runcorn Linnets 2

Hallam 2

Ashton United 4

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Newcastle Blue Star 1

Heaton Stannington 0

TBD -

Marine -

Buxton -

TBD -

Redditch 5

Skegness Town 0

Morecambe -

TBD -

Workington 2

Stalybridge 3

TBD -

Chester -

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Hebburn Town 1

Longridge Town 0

South Shields -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands 1

Guiseley 4

Widnes FC -

FC Congleton Town -

TBD -

Chorley -

Ilkeston 1

Spalding United 2

TBD -

Alfreton -

Bedford -

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Tamworth -

TBD -

Hyde 3

Prescot Cables 2

Lancaster 1

Whitby 2

Matlock 4

Bottesford Town 1

Carlton Town 3

Cleethorpes 0

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Redbridge 1

Royston Town 2

Brentwood 2

Leighton Town 1

Chesham -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Eastwood Community FC 1

Grimsby Borough 2

Halesowen 4

Stratford 1

Sudbury 4

Mildenhall 0

Aveley 3

Hashtag 0

TBD -

Gateshead -

West Auckland Town 3

Wythenshawe FC 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Rossington Main 0

United of Manchester 4

Bishop Auckland 1

Chadderton 3

Coleshill Town 2

Worcester Raiders 1

Hednesford 3

Basford Utd. 1

Billericay 4

Barton 1

Berkhamsted Town 2

St Ives Town 0

Morpeth 2

Pontefract Collieries 1

Witton Albion 6

Shildon 3

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Southport -

TBD -

Halifax -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Harborough 3

Leek Town 0

TBD -

Worksop -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 5

TBD -

Bath City -

Burnham FC 0

Jersey Bulls 3

TBD -

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Forest Green -

FC Haverhill Rovers 0

Waltham Abbey 3

March Town 1

Gorleston 3

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Canvey Island 0

Stanway Rovers 2

Cockfosters 1

Soul Tower Hamlets 4

Ascot United 1

Flackwell Heath 2

Lewes 1

Bracknell Town 4

Dartford 2

Tadley Calleva 4

Weymouth 2

Woking -

TBD -

Brackley -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Whitstable Town 3

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Chichester City 1

Hungerford 3

AFC Stoneham 0

Tavistock 1

Swindon Supermarine 4

Cray Wanderers 2

Hanwell Town 3

Bedfont Sports 4

Littlehampton 3

Uxbridge 1

Welling 2

TBD -

Slough Town -

Enfield FC 3

Ilford 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Quorn 8

Sherwood Colliery 0

Long Eaton 1

Kettering 4

Winchester City 0

Fareham 1

Fairford 0

Sholing 2

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Epsom 2

Risborough Rangers 1

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Royal Wootton 1

Torpoint 3

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 1

Croydon Athletic 2

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Southend -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Sheppey United 0

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Folkestone 3

Sevenoaks 0

TBD -

Maidstone -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Ashford Town 3

Whyteleafe 2

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Faversham 5

Hastings 2

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Braintree -

TBD -

Westbury United 5

Yate 4

TBD -

Oxford City -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Chertsey Town 2

Thame United 1

Ramsgate 1

Cray Valley 2

Steyning Town 5

Lancing 0

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Raynes Park Vale 0

Ashford United 2

Chatham 4

Marlow 0

Deal Town 2

Cobham 0

Beckenham Town 2

Egham Town 3

Gosport Borough 2

Basingstoke 1

Didcot 2

Poole Town 3

Tiverton 3

Taunton Town 4

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Needham Market 4

Tilbury 2

Eynesbury Rovers 3

Arlesey 1

Histon 2

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

FC Witham Town 3

Lowestoft 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Real Bedford 1

Stortford 2

Boston Town 1

Sporting Khalsa 3

TBD -

Hereford -

TBD -

Yeovil -

Cheshunt 1

Leiston 2

Knaphill 1

Hackney Wick 2

Worcester 3

Chasetown 4

Mangotsfield 0

Banbury 1

Brightlingsea 2

Bury Town 3

Newmarket 2

Woodford Town 3

Potters 2

Hitchin 4

Aylesbury Vale 1

St. Albans 3

Alvechurch 4

Barwell 2

TBD -

Leamington -

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea 1

Hertford Town 2

Hayes & Yeading 3

Whitehawk 4

Three Bridges 0

Walton & Hersham 2

Gloucester City 3

Portchester 1

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Torquay -

Shaftesbury Town 3

Exmouth Town 1

Plymouth Parkway 0

Frome Town 4

TBD -

Truro -

Salisbury -

TBD -

Hythe & Dibden 1

Laverstock & Ford 2

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Carshalton 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Aldershot -

Wokingham Town FC 1

Burgess Hill 5

Erith Town 0

Farnham 3

Falmouth Town 0

Brixham 5

Slimbridge 0

Dorchester 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Quarter-finals

AFC Fylde 4

Bamber Bridge 1

Bootle 1

Darlington FC 3

Telford 3

Kidderminster 1

Racing Club Warwick 3

Evesham 4

Macclesfield 3

Atherton Rovers 0

Nantwich 3

Trafford 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Stourbridge 1

Shepshed 0

Stamford 2

Dunston 1

Stocksbridge 0

Gainsborough 2

Rushall 1

TBD -

Hartlepool -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Boston United -

Rochdale -

TBD -

York City -

Pickering Town 0

Runcorn Linnets 2

Ashton United 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

Newcastle Blue Star 0

Marine 2

Buxton 3

Redditch 0

Morecambe -

TBD -

Stalybridge 1

Chester 2

Curzon Ashton 4

Hebburn Town 1

South Shields 2

Guiseley 1

FC Congleton Town 0

Chorley 1

Spalding United 3

Alfreton 0

Bedford 1

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Hyde 2

Whitby 0

Matlock 3

Carlton Town 0

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Royston Town 1

Brentwood 0

Chesham 1

King’s Lynn 4

Grimsby Borough 2

Halesowen 7

Sudbury 1

Aveley 2

TBD -

Gateshead -

West Auckland Town 0

Spennymoor 1

United of Manchester 0

Chadderton 1

Coleshill Town 0

Hednesford 7

Billericay 3

Berkhamsted Town 0

Morpeth 2

Witton Albion 1

Radcliffe 3

Southport 4

TBD -

Halifax -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Harborough 3

Worksop 2

Peterborough Sports 2

Hornchurch 1

Wimborne 2

Bath City 1

Jersey Bulls 2

Worthing FC 7

TBD -

Forest Green -

Waltham Abbey 2

Gorleston 0

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Stanway Rovers 0

Soul Tower Hamlets 0

Flackwell Heath 2

Bracknell Town 2

Tadley Calleva 0

Woking -

TBD -

Brackley -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 2

Chichester City 1

Hungerford 3

Swindon Supermarine 0

Hanwell Town 0

Bedfont Sports 1

Welling 1

Slough Town 2

Enfield FC 0

Enfield Town 3

Quorn 2

Kettering 1

Fareham 0

Sholing 3

Eastbourne Borough 4

Epsom 0

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Merthyr Town 4

Torpoint 0

Hampton & Richmond 4

Croydon Athletic 2

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Southend -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Horsham FC 8

Folkestone 2

Maidstone 0

Ebbsfleet 5

Ashford Town 0

Maidenhead 0

Faversham 1

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Braintree -

TBD -

Westbury United 3

Oxford City 2

Farnborough 4

Dover Ath. 1

Chertsey Town 2

Cray Valley 3

Steyning Town 3

Tonbridge 8

Ashford United 0

Chatham 3

Deal Town 2

Egham Town 1

Gosport Borough 0

Poole Town 3

Taunton Town 1

Weston-super-Mare 4

Needham Market 4

Eynesbury Rovers 2

Mulbarton Wanderers 0

FC Witham Town 2

Hemel Hempstead 4

Stortford 1

Sporting Khalsa 2

Hereford 3

TBD -

Yeovil -

Leiston 4

Hackney Wick 1

Chasetown 1

Banbury 2

Bury Town 1

Woodford Town 2

Hitchin 1

St. Albans 2

Alvechurch 3

Leamington 0

Chelmsford 6

Hertford Town 0

Whitehawk 0

Walton & Hersham 2

Gloucester City 1

Chippenham Town 2

AFC Totton 2

Torquay 0

Shaftesbury Town 2

Frome Town 3

TBD -

Truro -

Salisbury 4

Laverstock & Ford 1

Dorking Wanderers 7

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Aldershot -

Burgess Hill 1

Farnham 3

Brixham 1

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Sutton -

Semi-finals

AFC Fylde 3

Darlington FC 5

Telford 4

Evesham 1

Macclesfield 2

Nantwich 0

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Stamford 1

Dunston 1

Gainsborough 2

TBD -

Hartlepool -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Boston United -

Rochdale -

TBD -

York City -

Runcorn Linnets 3

Ashton United 2

Marine 2

Buxton 3

Morecambe -

TBD -

Chester 5

Curzon Ashton 1

South Shields 4

Chorley 1

Spalding United 2

Dagenham & Red. 1

Tamworth -

TBD -

Hyde 1

Matlock 0

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Royston Town 1

King’s Lynn 5

Halesowen 0

Aveley 1

TBD -

Gateshead -

Spennymoor 3

Chadderton 0

Hednesford 0

Billericay 2

Morpeth 1

Southport 3

TBD -

Halifax -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Harborough 4

Peterborough Sports 1

Wimborne 0

Worthing FC 3

TBD -

Forest Green -

Waltham Abbey 2

Maldon & Tiptree 4

Flackwell Heath 4

Bracknell Town 1

Woking -

TBD -

Brackley -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Whitstable Town 2

Hungerford 0

Bedfont Sports 1

Slough Town 2

Enfield Town 5

Quorn 1

Sholing 1

Eastbourne Borough 2

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Merthyr Town 0

Hampton & Richmond 1

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Southend -

TBD -

Horsham FC 2

Folkestone 3

Ebbsfleet 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Braintree -

TBD -

Westbury United 0

Farnborough 1

Cray Valley 0

Tonbridge 5

Chatham 3

Deal Town 1

Poole Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Needham Market 2

FC Witham Town 1

Hemel Hempstead 5

Hereford 2

TBD -

Yeovil -

Leiston 0

Banbury 3

Woodford Town 0

St. Albans 1

Alvechurch 1

Chelmsford 2

Walton & Hersham 0

Chippenham Town 2

AFC Totton 4

Frome Town 2

TBD -

Truro -

Salisbury 3

Dorking Wanderers 5

TBD -

Aldershot -

Farnham 3

Dorchester 0

TBD -

Sutton -

Final

Darlington FC 0

Telford 6

Macclesfield 1

Stamford 0

Gainsborough 4

Hartlepool 2

Carlisle 5

Boston United 2

Rochdale 1

York City 2

Runcorn Linnets 0

Buxton 1

Morecambe 1

Chester 3

South Shields 4

Spalding United 0

Tamworth 1

Hyde 0

Scunthorpe 4

King’s Lynn 2

Aveley 0

Gateshead 3

Spennymoor 1

Billericay 0

Southport 1

Halifax 3

Altrincham 5

Harborough 2

Worthing FC 1

Forest Green 4

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Flackwell Heath 0

Woking 3

Brackley 7

Wealdstone 5

Whitstable Town 1

Slough Town 3

Enfield Town 2

Eastbourne Borough 0

Boreham Wood 3

Hampton & Richmond 0

Eastleigh 2

Southend 4

Folkestone 1

Ebbsfleet 2

Solihull Moors 0

Braintree 2

Farnborough 0

Tonbridge 1

Chatham 3

Weston-super-Mare 1

Needham Market 0

Hemel Hempstead 2

Yeovil 1

Banbury 1

St. Albans 2

Chelmsford 4

Chippenham Town 3

AFC Totton 3

Truro 2

Dorking Wanderers 2

Aldershot 3

Farnham 5

Sutton 6

Merthyr Town vs Torpoint

England

Merthyr Town

Torpoint

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

Torpoint

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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