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Mervue United vs Bonagee Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

National League Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between Mervue United and Bonagee finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mervue United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mervue United
20%
Draws
7%
Bonagee
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mervue United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

7% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mervue United come out ahead of Bonagee on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 20%
Bonagee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mervue United Bonagee
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 15 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.95 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National League
Bonagee vs Mervue United
1:6
Sep 19, 2026 National League
Mervue United vs Bonagee
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mervue United 32 / 100
Bonagee 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mervue United Bonagee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonagee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonagee let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Mervue United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Mervue United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mervue United VS Bonagee
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mervue United

(Home)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 6

Bonagee

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Aug
Bonagee
0 : 4
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CK United FC 5 3 2 0 12:8 11
2 Villa FC 4 3 1 0 16:6 10
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams