Sport Picks
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fajr Sepasi
Iran
Hazfi Cup 
AI Match Summary
Mes Shahr Babak in this Hazfi Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mes Shahr Babak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mes Shahr Babak lately — more wins on the board than Fajr Sepasi.
- Win probability leans Mes Shahr Babak's way, sitting at 60%.
- Mes Shahr Babak have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mes Shahr Babak, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mes Shahr Babak | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.13 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.13 | 0.67 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 21, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Apr 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0
May 13, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak
3:1
Nov 29, 2023 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mes Shahr Babak 68 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mes Shahr Babak Fajr Sepasi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mes Shahr Babak found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Fajr Sepasi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Mes Shahr Babak has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Fajr Sepasi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mes Shahr Babak VS Fajr Sepasi
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
25% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mes Shahr Babak
(Home) 16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3 Mes Shahr Babak
27 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 0 Niroye Zamini
21 Jun
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
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11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 0 Niroye Zamini
15 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Besat Kermanshah
02 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 0 Sanat Naft
21 May
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
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Fajr Sepasi
(Away) 27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1 Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
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27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
23 Jan
Gol Gohar
2 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
15 Dec
Malavan
0 : 4 Fajr Sepasi
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Foolad Hormozgan2
Chooka Talesh0
Esteghlal TEH2
Padyab Khalkhal1
Havadar SC3
Bargh1
Saipa1
Mazandaran0
Gol Gohar1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
Mes Rafsanjan1
Damash Gilan0
Aluminium Arak1
Malavan2
Mes Shahr Babak1
Fajr Sepasi0
Besat Kermanshah0
Naft Gachsaran1
Paykan2
Shahrdari Noshahr0
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Foolad3
Chadormalu1
Zob Ahan0
Mes Kerman0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad2
KIA FA1
Shams Azar Qazvin3
Niroye Zamini2
Tractor2
Persepolis1
1/8-finals
Foolad Hormozgan0
Esteghlal TEH2
Havadar SC2
Saipa3
Gol Gohar1
Mes Rafsanjan0
Malavan3
Mes Shahr Babak0
Naft Gachsaran0
Paykan1
Foolad2
Chadormalu0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad3
Shams Azar Qazvin-
Tractor-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
