Sport Picks
Match Events
76'
76'
Fabiano G.
82'
82'
Posocco F.
84'
84'
Tiepolato G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between Mestre and AC Belluno finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mestre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Mestre carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Mestre taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mestre Clean Sheet 20%
AC Belluno Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mestre | AC Belluno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 46 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 15 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs AC Belluno
2:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Mestre
1:0
May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Mestre
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs AC Belluno
0:1
Apr 8, 2017 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Mestre
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mestre Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabiano G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tiepolato G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
AC Belluno Compare
Top Goalscorer Posocco F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mestre 85 / 100
AC Belluno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mestre AC Belluno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mestre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Belluno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Mestre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mestre scored in 59% of their last 46 games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Mestre VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mestre
(Home) 20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2 Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0 Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2 Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0 Mestre
Page 1 of 10
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2 Altavilla
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0 Treviso
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1 Legnago Salus
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 4
AC Belluno
(Away) 20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0 AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2 AC Belluno
06 Jun
AC Belluno
0 : 3 Delta Porto Tolle
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1 AC Belluno
23 May
AC Belluno
1 : 0 Chions
Page 1 of 6
20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0 AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2 AC Belluno
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1 AC Belluno
19 May
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 1 AC Belluno
09 May
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Belluno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trento | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 65:35 | 81 |
| 2 | Arzignano | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Manzanese | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:44 | 66 |
| 4 | Clodiense | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 51:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 6 | Mestre | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 58:49 | 60 |
| 7 | Delta Porto Tolle | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:48 | 54 |
| 9 | AC Belluno | 38 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 43:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 60:60 | 52 |
| 11 | Cartigliano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 42:45 | 52 |
| 12 | San Giorgio-Sedico | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 48:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Adriese | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 55:64 | 49 |
| 14 | Ambrosiana | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 57:64 | 47 |
| 15 | Este | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 45:53 | 43 |
| 16 | Campodarsego | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:48 | 40 |
| 17 | Union Feltre | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 41:59 | 39 |
| 18 | Virtus Bolzano | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Montebelluna | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 41:67 | 38 |
| 20 | Chions | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 30:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
